As New Year's Eve approaches, so it is Polymarket Prediction markets for 2025, which are open for traders to bet on the events of the next 12 months.
Following the excitement of the 2024 elections, sports betting has become popular has been taken over As the top category for 2025 predictions. In the 2025 section of the site, traders seem to be most focused on the 2025 NFL Draft, which leads with $465,998 in bets. Contract participants are monitoring quarterback prospects and broader search developments, representing the platform's highest level of activity.
However, other market forecasts for 2025 show that a Significant reduction in volume. The next largest contract involves the Bitcoin price perspective, which only captures $28,640. There is a 70% chance that the price will reach $120,000 and a 55% chance that it will fall to $70,000. Entering the new year, Bitcoin is around $94,000 and the $100,000 retracement price will reach 94% in the next twelve months.
The contract for Fed action in 2025 includes $27,507 in bets that the probability of zero rate cuts is 11 percent, one 25 basis point cut is 19 percent, and two cuts are 29 percent. Another contract measures the possibility of an increase in the interest rate, which is currently 15 percent. Taken together, these figures show different views on the pace of possible policy change ahead of the new government.
Whether or not Vladimir Putin will be out of office by 2025 shows a 13 percent chance, while traders seem focused on a possible Russia-Ukraine ceasefire at 71 percent. In the Middle East, Netanyahu's exit is 27%, while the probability of the Iranian leader stepping down from power reaches 44%. These contracts indicate a continuous, yet negligible, demand for protective coatings related to geopolitical changes.
Frighteningly, the probability of a nuclear weapon detonating by 2025 is 22 percent, underscoring concerns about escalating tensions in various regions. However, even a test explosion qualifies.
To solve this market, any detonation of a nuclear weapon anywhere on planet Earth or in space would be enough to trigger a “yes” resolution. “This includes aggressive uses, nuclear tests and accidental explosions.”
These geopolitical deals are linked to energy supply factors and potential sanctions that may affect global commodity flows.
Corporate events are also prominent. The market to determine which company may have the largest market capitalization in 2025, NVIDIA stands out with 26% and Apple with 36%.
In the stablecoin markets, a contract about a potential Tether decline is 16%, while a question about a potential Tether bankruptcy is only 11% likely.
Polymarket's largest betting markets
However, outside of the specific markets of 2025, Polymarket's top-selling markets are also focused on sports. The Champions League market shows a British win at $699,410,841. The top teams are Arsenal with 14%, Liverpool with 18% and Manchester City with nearly 10%.
The NBA champion's contract is close to $410,909,837, giving the Celtics a 26 percent chance. Another notable football market, the Premier League champions, totals $341,757,688, giving Liverpool a 71% chance to win the title and Arsenal a 13% chance.
In the NBA, the Eastern Conference champion $239,279,029 riding on the Celtics with 46% and
Cleveland Cavaliers with 16 percent.
By 2025, regardless of the presidential election, sports will potentially be the dominant segment of the polymarket. However, a cross-section of geopolitical and financial contracts collectively reflects widespread interest in how leadership changes, monetary policy adjustments, and security concerns.
